Only one of the previous 23 outright leaders after the first round of the Masters has gone on to win the green jacket since 1985. Justin Rose has a four-shot lead.
from https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/sports-columns/todd-dewey/odds-against-first-round-leader-justin-rose-winning-masters-2325336/
from
https://calliduselctric.tumblr.com/post/647958153013706752
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